Crypto Fear and Greed Index: What Is It? How To Navigate Market Sentiment?

The crypto market is highly sensitive to various factors among which market sentiment and emotions of investors play a big role. When the price goes on an uptrend, investors become greedy and when it falls, they become fearful. Most of the traders act solely based on their emotions.

With numerous factors that influence the crypto market at play, how to understand overall market sentiment? This is where the crypto fear and greed index comes into the picture. It helps you understand the overall market sentiment and make a sense of investors’ emotions so that you can make better investment decisions.

We will help you understand everything you need to know about the crypto fear and greed index, including the factors that influence it. Furthermore, this article also covers how you can navigate the market sentiment and make informed investment decisions.

What is the Crypto Fear and Greed Index?

The crypto fear and greed index is a sentiment analysis tool to gauge the emotional state of the crypto market. It aims to quantify the market sentiment on a scale of “0 to 100”, where “0” indicates “extreme fear”, and “100” indicates “extreme greed”. With the help of this index, you will understand whether fear or greed is dominating the market. This way, you can find and leverage buying or selling opportunities in the market.

The concept of fear and greed index is simple - extreme fear leads to panic selling and pushes prices down and extreme greed causes excessive buying, which inflates prices. When you understand this emotional dynamic of the crypto market, the index helps you understand when the market is overreacting.

Interpreting The Crypto Fear and Greed Index

The five-part division of the crypto fear and greed index makes it easy for traders to interpret it. Traders can understand where the market stands based on which division the index points. Let us look at the five divisions of the index and what they mean regarding the crypto market.

• Extreme Fear (0-24) -

  This division indicates panic and uncertainty. Some traders might panic sell their holdings but this phase presents buying opportunities. This is because prices could be undervalued as traders panic sell.

• Fear (25-49) -

  This phase reflects concern over the market, but not a complete panic like the previous one. It indicates the market is cautious and prices may be in a downward trend.

• Neutral (50) -

  The neutral phase implies that the market lacks a clear direction and there is a balance between buyers and sellers.

• Greed (51-74) -

  The greed phase indicates growing confidence in the market. And, it often leads to increased buying activity and potentially inflates prices.

• Extreme Greed (75-100) -

  This phase represents a euphoric sentiment in the market. Investors pour into the market and prices may spike shortly. However, this phase often precedes a correction or downturn because prices become overextended.

In general, extreme fear coincides with market bottoms and extreme greed signals a peak or bull market.

How is The Crypto Fear and Greed Index Calculated?

Alternative.me has the most standard procedure to calculate the crypto fear and greed index even though there are different indices in the industry. They gather data from multiple sources to make sense of the overall market sentiment. However, its index is applicable only for Bitcoin but most of the traders use it for the entire market. Let us look at the factors based on which the crypto fear and greed index is calculated.

Volatility (25%)

Sudden price drops or spikes indicate high volatility of the market. It indicates a fearful market while steady upward momentum indicates greed. The volatility at the time and maximum drawdowns of Bitcoin are measured to calculate this factor. And, the value is compared with the average values of the last 30 days and 90 days.

Trading volume (25%)

High trading volume during a market rally implies greed and low trading volume during a sell-off indicates fear. They measure market volatility and market momentum and compare it with the average values in the last 30 and 90 days.

Social Media (15%)

Even though there are multiple social media platforms that influence the crypto market. The crypto fear and greed index by Alternative.me is currently running only twitter analysis. They gather and count posts on different hashtags and check how many interactions those posts got in a certain time frame. High activity and increasing interest in a coin on social media platforms indicate greedy market behavior.

Bitcoin Dominance (10%)

TThe dominance of Bitcoin is measured based on how much its market cap amounts to in the overall market cap of the crypto market. When Bitcoin dominance is increasing, it implies a fear of speculative altcoin investments. On the other hand, when Bitcoin dominance decreases, it means investors are moving to altcoins and this indicates a greedy market.

Search Trends (10%)

Google Trends data gives an insight into how many users are searching about a particular coin. They pull data from Trends to see how many queries are related to Bitcoin and monitor the change in search volumes. Based on the intent of these queries and search volumes, we can decide whether the crypto market is fearful or greedy.

Surveys (15%)

This factor is not in use at present but it was useful in the beginning to study market behavior. Conducting weekly crypto polls and gathering opinions of the investors is one way to know what they are feeling about the market.

How to Use the Crypto Fear and Greed Index in Trading?

Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, the crypto fear and greed index serves as a valuable tool to understand market behavior.

When the crypto fear and greed index shows extreme fear, it indicates that investors may undervalue and panic sell their tokens. The statement “Buy The Dip” is applicable to the market under this condition. If you choose tokens with huge growth potential and buy them during this time, they can provide considerable returns over the long-term. You can try the crypto fear and greed calculator to simulate historical trading results.

On the other end of the spectrum, when the market is driven by extreme greed, there is a possibility that prices are inflated. When the crypto market prices inflated temporarily, a price correction will soon follow. Under this kind of market conditions, it is wise to trade carefully, avoid overexposure, and if possible consider taking profits.

This way, the index helps you stay grounded and ensures that you make rational investment decisions during volatile market conditions. Even though the index is a great tool to navigate emotional highs and lows in regards to the market, you must combine it with other forms and analysis and tools. When you add fundamental and technical analysis, they give you a clearer picture in making an investment decision.

Limitations of the Crypto Fear and Greed Index

Sure, the crypto fear and greed index is a powerful tool but it has its own limitations. Solely depending on the index is not a good idea under any market condition. If you neglect other important factors and analysis such as fundamental and technical analysis, you may miss opportunities.

There are multiple reasons why you should not entirely depend on the index. One being, it doesn't take macroeconomic conditions, regulatory changes, and broader market trends into account. However, these factors also influence the crypto market to a large extent. The index needs to be used as a part of the tool and analysis kit that you use while investing.

Another important consideration is, the index is calculated on a weekly and daily basis. It changes frequently, which implies its suitability to short-term investors and traders. Long-term investors should focus more on fundamental analysis and risk management, instead of the index.

While the index provides a peak into the market sentiment, there is a slight possibility of traders misinterpreting the market sentiment. Extreme fear may not always lead to market reversal and extreme greed may not always result in a market crash. You must use the index as a guiding tool to navigate the market, not as a market prediction tool.

Conclusion

The crypto fear and greed index offers a window into the emotional state of the crypto market investors and traders. It helps them in identifying buying and selling opportunities based on whether the market sentiment is fearful or greedy.

However, you must consider other types of tools such as fundamental and technical analysis, on-chain analytics, social media talk and sentiment trackers, etc in addition to the index. This helps you in getting a broader perspective regarding the crypto market so that you can make informed and profitable investment decisions.

FAQs

How is the crypto fear and greed index calculated?

The crypto fear and greed index is calculated based on five factors - market volatility, trading volume, search trends, Bitcoin dominance, and social media sentiment.

Is the crypto fear and greed index reliable?

The optimal trading hours of the crypto market are usually the business hours of major financial centers, where a large number of traders and institutional investors actively participate in the market. For instance, the overlapping time frames of the European and the US markets can be considered optimal trading hours.

Is fear and greed index a good indicator?

The fear and greed index is a good indicator to understand the current market sentiment. It is a good indicator of the market condition but investors must not entirely depend on the index score while investing in cryptocurrencies.