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Break And Retest on BTC 1D

Break And Retest

Short
BTC / USD · daily
formed under an hour ago

A bearish break and retest on the daily chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $79,015.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $80,113, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $73,523, about 5.0R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $79,015, with invalidation at $80,113. This style holds the full position toward the room near $73,523. A close above $80,113 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $79,015, with invalidation at $80,113. This style books half near the first target around $77,916 and shifts the stop to the entry ($79,015), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $73,523.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
-1%
average annual gain
Wins23% of trades
Avg time to profit~6.9 days
Worst drawdown22%
Book early
+12%
average annual gain
Wins56% of trades
Avg time to profit~5.3 days
Worst drawdown11%
52
times triggered since Feb 2025
-0.01R
avg edge · ≈ -$1 per $100 risked
~1.19R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 7 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split0 long / 52 short
Expectancy-0.01R per trade
Median run / dip1.59R / -1.19R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Aug 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Break And Retest formed on BTC 1D. Historically this pattern on BTC 1D resolved toward the first target in 5690% of 72 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.01R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Break and retest is one of the most-watched patterns in price action: price breaks a clear level (support, resistance, or a trendline), then comes back to test that same level from the other side before continuing. The retest is treated as confirmation the break was real, with old resistance acting as new support and vice versa.

It forms after a decisive close through a level, followed by a controlled pullback to it. A clean retest that holds, with the level flipping roles, is read as stronger than an immediate continuation that never retests.

Other break and retest formations

Ask the Analyst about Break and Retest

FAQ

Break and retest is one of the most-watched patterns in price action: price breaks a clear level (support, resistance, or a trendline), then comes back to test that same level from the other side before continuing. The retest is treated as confirmation the break was real, with old resistance acting as new support and vice versa.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Aug 31, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.