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Wave Momentum on BTC 1H

Wave Momentum

Long
BTC / USD · 1-hourOpen
formed 2 hours ago

A bullish wave momentum on the 1-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $78,731.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $77,427, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $80,462, about 1.3R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $78,731, with invalidation at $77,427. This style holds the full position toward the room near $80,462. A close below $77,427 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $78,731, with invalidation at $77,427. This style books half near the first target around $80,034 and shifts the stop to the entry ($78,731), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $80,462.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
-27%
average annual gain
Wins32% of trades
Avg time to profit~21h
Worst drawdown57%
Book early
+1%
average annual gain
Wins55% of trades
Avg time to profit~18h
Worst drawdown41%
249
times triggered since Feb 2025
-0.09R
avg edge · ≈ -$9 per $100 risked
~1.16R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out within about 21 hours, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split249 long / 0 short
Expectancy-0.09R per trade
Median run / dip1.11R / -1.16R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 1H. Historically this pattern on BTC 1H resolved toward the first target in 5500% of 433 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of -0.02R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 8, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.