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Wave Momentum on BTC 1H

Wave Momentum

Long
BTC / USD · 1-hourFirst target hit
formed 45 days ago· first target hit 45 days ago

A bullish wave momentum on the 1-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $79,723.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $79,455, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $81,064, about 5.0R away.
Exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $79,723, with invalidation at $79,455. This style holds the full position toward the room near $81,064. A close below $79,455 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $79,723, with invalidation at $79,455. This style books half near the first target around $79,991 and shifts the stop to the entry ($79,723), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $81,064.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
-26%
average annual gain
Wins32% of trades
Avg time to profit~21h
Worst drawdown57%
Book early
+1%
average annual gain
Wins55% of trades
Avg time to profit~18h
Worst drawdown41%
249
times triggered since Feb 2025
-0.08R
avg edge · ≈ -$8 per $100 risked
~1.16R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out within about 21 hours, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split249 long / 0 short
Expectancy-0.08R per trade
Median run / dip1.11R / -1.16R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 1H. Historically this pattern on BTC 1H resolved toward the first target in 50% of 436 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of -0.11R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

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Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 5, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.