Mitigation Block on BTC 4H.
A Mitigation Block formed on BTC 4H. Historically the Mitigation Block on BTC 4H resolved toward the primary target in 8660% of 149 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.92R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.
- Validation trigger
- 78,324.23
- Invalidation zone
- 80,133.4745
- Primary target
- 76,514.9855
- Historical win rate
- 8660%
- Expectancy
- +0.92R
- Sample size
- 149 instances
What formed
A mitigation block is the origin candle of a move that price later returns to in order to fill (mitigate) unfilled orders left behind, often before continuing in the original direction. It's closely related to the order block but framed around unfinished business at the move's start.
It forms when a strong move leaves orders unfilled at its origin. Price later revisits that area to mitigate them. The cleaner the original move and the tighter the return, the more the block tends to matter.
Key levels
| Level | Value | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Validation trigger | 78,324.23 | Level that must react to confirm the formation |
| Invalidation zone | 80,133.4745 | Level that, if broken, negates the structural read |
| Primary target level | 76,514.9855 | First historical resolution zone |
| Secondary target level | 75,538.12 | Extended historical resolution zone |
| Distance to invalidation | 2.31% | Price move from validation trigger to invalidation |
Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.
Historical resolution
How the Mitigation Block has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.
| Coin | TF | N | Win % | Expectancy R | Avg hold (bars) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1H | 548 | 83% | +0.67R | 9.9 |
| BTC | 4H | 149 | 87% | +0.92R | 9.1 |
| BTC | 6H | 84 | 77% | +0.66R | 11.2 |
| BTC | 8H | 65 | 92% | +1.17R | 10.1 |
| BTC | 12H | 43 | 86% | +0.75R | 8.3 |
| BTC | 1D | 21 | 86% | +0.63R | 11.2 |
| ETH | 1H | 561 | 85% | +0.77R | 9.6 |
| ETH | 4H | 135 | 90% | +0.92R | 9.5 |
| ETH | 6H | 82 | 87% | +0.74R | 10.4 |
| ETH | 8H | 64 | 81% | +0.69R | 9.8 |
| ETH | 12H | 44 | 82% | +0.78R | 9.1 |
| ETH | 1D | 18 | 89% | +0.77R | 10.3 |
| HYPE | 1H | 194 | 89% | +0.87R | 10.4 |
| HYPE | 4H | 50 | 78% | +0.62R | 9.7 |
| HYPE | 6H | 30 | 77% | +0.85R | 10.6 |
| HYPE | 8H | 22 | 86% | +0.97R | 10.8 |
| HYPE | 12H | 15 | 93% | +1.08R | 10.4 |
| HYPE | 1D | 8 | 63% | +0.23R | 9.1 |
| SOL | 1H | 563 | 84% | +0.75R | 9.5 |
| SOL | 4H | 144 | 83% | +0.72R | 9.6 |
| SOL | 6H | 96 | 80% | +0.67R | 9.4 |
| SOL | 8H | 61 | 74% | +0.55R | 11.0 |
| SOL | 12H | 41 | 83% | +0.85R | 9.4 |
| SOL | 1D | 28 | 86% | +0.85R | 7.4 |
| ZEC | 1H | 525 | 83% | +0.76R | 9.3 |
| ZEC | 4H | 130 | 80% | +0.72R | 10.1 |
| ZEC | 6H | 87 | 84% | +0.76R | 9.8 |
| ZEC | 8H | 71 | 86% | +0.85R | 10.3 |
| ZEC | 12H | 46 | 89% | +0.98R | 9.9 |
| ZEC | 1D | 24 | 83% | +0.66R | 10.7 |
How this pattern behaves
The read is whether price mitigates the block and resumes, or breaks through it. A reaction that resumes the original direction is treated as the block working. We report how often that happened historically.
FAQ
Other mitigation block formations
Related
Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.