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Wave Momentum on BTC 4H

Wave Momentum

Long
BTC / USD · 4-hourFirst target hit
formed 2 days ago· first target hit 2 days ago

A bullish wave momentum on the 4-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $76,999.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $76,209, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $80,564, about 4.5R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $76,999, with invalidation at $76,209. This style holds the full position toward the room near $80,564. A close below $76,209 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $76,999, with invalidation at $76,209. This style books half near the first target around $77,790 and shifts the stop to the entry ($76,999), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $80,564.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+9%
average annual gain
Wins36% of trades
Avg time to profit~3.7 days
Worst drawdown12%
Book early
+5%
average annual gain
Wins55% of trades
Avg time to profit~3.1 days
Worst drawdown13%
63
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.12R
avg edge · ≈ +$12 per $100 risked
~1.06R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 4 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split63 long / 0 short
Expectancy0.12R per trade
Median run / dip1.14R / -1.06R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 4H. Historically this pattern on BTC 4H resolved toward the first target in 5270% of 112 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.02R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 11, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.