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Wave Momentum on BTC 4H

Wave Momentum

Short
BTC / USD · 4-hourOpen
formed 7 hours ago

A bearish wave momentum on the 4-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $85,732.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $87,035, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $82,736, about 2.3R away.
Exit rule
Book early

Entry sits near $85,732, with invalidation at $87,035. This style books half near the first target around $84,429 and shifts the stop to the entry ($85,732), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $82,736.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Book early
+4%
average annual gain
Wins55% of trades
Avg time to profit~2.2 days
Worst drawdown16%
60
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.06R
avg edge · ≈ +$6 per $100 risked
~0.85R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 2 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split0 long / 60 short
Expectancy0.06R per trade
Median run / dip1.12R / -0.85R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 4H. Historically this pattern on BTC 4H resolved toward the first target in 5450% of 112 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.05R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

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Detected by Botsfolio · Oct 5, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.