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Wave Momentum on BTC 8H

Wave Momentum

Short
BTC / USD · 8-hourFirst target hit
formed about a day ago· first target hit about a day ago

A bearish wave momentum on the 8-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $78,610.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $79,690, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $73,210, about 5.0R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $78,610, with invalidation at $79,690. This style holds the full position toward the room near $73,210. A close above $79,690 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $78,610, with invalidation at $79,690. This style books half near the first target around $77,530 and shifts the stop to the entry ($78,610), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $73,210.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+20%
average annual gain
Wins42% of trades
Avg time to profit~6.6 days
Worst drawdown10%
Book early
+15%
average annual gain
Wins69% of trades
Avg time to profit~4.8 days
Worst drawdown7%
31
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.51R
avg edge · ≈ +$51 per $100 risked
~1.11R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 7 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split0 long / 31 short
Expectancy0.51R per trade
Median run / dip1.66R / -1.11R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 8H. Historically this pattern on BTC 8H resolved toward the first target in 5830% of 60 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.18R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 1, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.