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Wave Momentum on ETH 4H

Wave Momentum

Short
ETH / USD · 4-hour
formed about a day ago

A bearish wave momentum on the 4-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $2,455.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $2,477, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $2,422, about 1.6R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $2,455, with invalidation at $2,477. This style holds the full position toward the room near $2,422. A close above $2,477 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $2,455, with invalidation at $2,477. This style books half near the first target around $2,434 and shifts the stop to the entry ($2,455), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $2,422.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+2%
average annual gain
Wins30% of trades
Avg time to profit~2.9 days
Worst drawdown21%
Book early
+3%
average annual gain
Wins52% of trades
Avg time to profit~2.4 days
Worst drawdown15%
66
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.02R
avg edge · ≈ +$2 per $100 risked
~1.12R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 3 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split0 long / 66 short
Expectancy0.02R per trade
Median run / dip1.14R / -1.12R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Aug 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on ETH 4H. Historically this pattern on ETH 4H resolved toward the first target in 5330% of 107 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.10R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Aug 30, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.