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Wave Momentum on ETH 6H

Wave Momentum

Short
ETH / USD · 6-hourStopped out
formed 45 days ago· stopped out 39 days ago

A bearish wave momentum on the 6-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $2,686.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $2,763, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $2,366, about 4.2R away.
Exit rule
Book early

Entry sits near $2,686, with invalidation at $2,763. This style books half near the first target around $2,610 and shifts the stop to the entry ($2,686), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $2,366.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Book early
+13%
average annual gain
Wins59% of trades
Avg time to profit~3.8 days
Worst drawdown6%
39
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.28R
avg edge · ≈ +$28 per $100 risked
~0.56R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 4 days, and it commonly dips about halfway toward your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split0 long / 39 short
Expectancy0.28R per trade
Median run / dip1.31R / -0.56R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on ETH 6H. Historically this pattern on ETH 6H resolved toward the first target in 53% of 68 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.14R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

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Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 26, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.