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Fair Value Gap on ETH 8H

Fair Value Gap

Long
ETH / USD · 8-hourOpen
formed 16 hours ago

A bullish fair value gap on the 8-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $2,452.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $2,401, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $2,547, about 1.8R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $2,452, with invalidation at $2,401. This style holds the full position toward the room near $2,547. A close below $2,401 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $2,452, with invalidation at $2,401. This style books half near the first target around $2,504 and shifts the stop to the entry ($2,452), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $2,547.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+25%
average annual gain
Wins37% of trades
Avg time to profit~2.8 days
Worst drawdown21%
Book early
+9%
average annual gain
Wins55% of trades
Avg time to profit~2.0 days
Worst drawdown23%
68
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.3R
avg edge · ≈ +$30 per $100 risked
~1.1R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 3 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split68 long / 0 short
Expectancy0.30R per trade
Median run / dip1.06R / -1.10R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Fair Value Gap formed on ETH 8H. Historically this pattern on ETH 8H resolved toward the first target in 4960% of 119 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of -0.07R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

It appears during sharp, one-directional moves, often off news or a liquidity grab. The faster and larger the displacement, the bigger the gap. Gaps that sit alongside an order block or a key level tend to matter more than isolated ones.

Other fair value gap formations

Ask the Analyst about Fair Value Gap

FAQ

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 4, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.