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Fair Value Gap on ETH 8H

Fair Value Gap

Long
ETH / USD · 8-hourOpen
formed 9 hours ago

A bullish fair value gap on the 8-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

Entry zoneThe reaction level sits around $2,512 ($2,511 to $2,513).
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $2,494, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $2,694, about 5.0R away.
Exit rule
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $2,527, with invalidation at $2,494. This style holds the full position toward the room near $2,694. A close below $2,494 ends the idea.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+24%
average annual gain
Wins36% of trades
Avg time to profit~2.7 days
Worst drawdown21%
70
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.28R
avg edge · ≈ +$28 per $100 risked
~1.1R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 3 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split70 long / 0 short
Expectancy0.28R per trade
Median run / dip1.06R / -1.10R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Fair Value Gap formed on ETH 8H. Historically this pattern on ETH 8H resolved toward the first target in 50% of 118 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of -0.05R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

It appears during sharp, one-directional moves, often off news or a liquidity grab. The faster and larger the displacement, the bigger the gap. Gaps that sit alongside an order block or a key level tend to matter more than isolated ones.

Other fair value gap formations

Ask the Analyst about Fair Value Gap

FAQ

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

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Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Oct 12, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.