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Track record

Mitigation Block on BTC 1D: backtested track record

Every Mitigation Block that formed on the Bitcoin (BTC) daily chart since Feb 2025: 21 backtested trades, grade B, averaging +0.59R per trade after a 0.12% round-trip fee.

Mitigation Block

BTC · daily chart
Track record with 0.12% fees per trade
Risk / trade
Hold for the target

Holding the whole position to the target closed in profit less often, but the winners were larger.

Annual gain+15%
Wins38%
Avg time to profit~12.7 days
Max drawdown6%
Book early

Banking half near the first target and moving the stop to breakeven closed in profit more often, with smaller average winners.

Annual gain+4%
Wins58%
Avg time to profit~8.9 days
Max drawdown6%
Times it has formed21
Avg edge / trade+0.59R
Typical dip first~1.23R
It usually plays out over about 13 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats
Direction split9 long / 12 short
Expectancy0.59R per trade
Median run / dip1.14R / -1.23R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results.

Mitigation Block on BTC, other timeframes

New to the pattern? How a Mitigation Block works.

Reading these numbers: average result per trade and drawdown, explained.

Questions about the Mitigation Block on BTC 1D

21 times since Feb 2025 in the backtest, on Coinbase candles for Bitcoin.

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