Track record
Wave Momentum on BTC 1D: backtested track record
Every Wave Momentum that formed on the Bitcoin (BTC) daily chart since Feb 2025: 17 backtested trades, grade D, averaging -0.04R per trade after a 0.12% round-trip fee.
Wave Momentum
BTC · daily chart
Track record with 0.12% fees per trade
Risk / trade
Hold for the target
Holding the whole position to the target closed in profit less often, but the winners were larger.
Annual gain-1%
Wins29%
Avg time to profit~22.1 days
Max drawdown14%
Book early
Banking half near the first target and moving the stop to breakeven closed in profit more often, with smaller average winners.
Annual gain+0%
Wins44%
Avg time to profit~19.3 days
Max drawdown10%
Times it has formed17
Avg edge / trade-0.04R
Typical dip first~1.06R
It usually plays out over about 22 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats
Direction split8 long / 9 short
Expectancy-0.04R per trade
Median run / dip0.67R / -1.06R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026
Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results.
Wave Momentum on BTC, other timeframes
New to the pattern? How a Wave Momentum works.
Reading these numbers: average result per trade and drawdown, explained.
Questions about the Wave Momentum on BTC 1D
17 times since Feb 2025 in the backtest, on Coinbase candles for Bitcoin.
Hold for the target: 29% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~22.1 days. Book early: 44% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~19.3 days.
The typical trade dipped about 1.06R toward its stop before it worked out. It usually plays out over about 22 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
No. These are past results of the pattern, measured with no look-ahead and net of fees. They describe how it has behaved, not what the next one will do.
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