Track record
Liquidity Sweep on BTC 4H: backtested track record
Every Liquidity Sweep that formed on the Bitcoin (BTC) 4-hour chart since Feb 2025: 159 backtested trades, grade D, averaging -0.39R per trade after a 0.12% round-trip fee.
Liquidity Sweep
BTC · 4-hour chart
Track record with 0.12% fees per trade
Risk / trade
Hold for the target
Holding the whole position to the target closed in profit less often, but the winners were larger.
Annual gain-76%
Wins22%
Avg time to profit~1.3 days
Max drawdown73%
Book early
Banking half near the first target and moving the stop to breakeven closed in profit more often, with smaller average winners.
Annual gain-53%
Wins45%
Avg time to profit~23h
Max drawdown63%
Times it has formed159
Avg edge / trade-0.39R
Typical dip first~1.24R
It usually plays out in about a day or two, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats
Direction split88 long / 71 short
Expectancy-0.39R per trade
Median run / dip0.93R / -1.24R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026
Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results.
Liquidity Sweep on BTC, other timeframes
New to the pattern? How a Liquidity Sweep works.
Reading these numbers: average result per trade and drawdown, explained.
Questions about the Liquidity Sweep on BTC 4H
159 times since Feb 2025 in the backtest, on Coinbase candles for Bitcoin.
Hold for the target: 22% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~1.3 days. Book early: 45% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~23h.
The typical trade dipped about 1.24R toward its stop before it worked out. It usually plays out in about a day or two, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
No. These are past results of the pattern, measured with no look-ahead and net of fees. They describe how it has behaved, not what the next one will do.
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Related
Related concepts
- ConceptBull TrapA failed upside breakout that reverses sharply downward, trapping breakout buyers.
- ConceptBear TrapA failed downside breakdown that reverses sharply upward, trapping short-sellers and stopped-out longs.
- ConceptOrder Block After SweepA strict sequence where a liquidity sweep is immediately followed by a valid order block in the reversal.
- ConceptOrder BlockThe last opposing candle before a strong, imbalanced move, a zone price often reacts to on the return.