Track record
Momentum Divergence on ETH 1D: backtested track record
Every Momentum Divergence that formed on the Ethereum (ETH) daily chart since Feb 2025: 20 backtested trades, grade D, averaging -0.26R per trade after a 0.12% round-trip fee.
Momentum Divergence
ETH · daily chart
Track record with 0.12% fees per trade
Risk / trade
Hold for the target
Holding the whole position to the target closed in profit less often, but the winners were larger.
Annual gain-6%
Wins20%
Avg time to profit~12.2 days
Max drawdown15%
Book early
Banking half near the first target and moving the stop to breakeven closed in profit more often, with smaller average winners.
Annual gain-5%
Wins46%
Avg time to profit~7.9 days
Max drawdown9%
Times it has formed20
Avg edge / trade-0.26R
Typical dip first~1.21R
It usually plays out over about 12 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats
Direction split8 long / 12 short
Expectancy-0.26R per trade
Median run / dip0.58R / -1.21R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026
Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results.
Momentum Divergence on ETH, other timeframes
Momentum Divergence 1HMomentum Divergence 4HMomentum Divergence 6HMomentum Divergence 8HMomentum Divergence 12H
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Reading these numbers: average result per trade and drawdown, explained.
Questions about the Momentum Divergence on ETH 1D
20 times since Feb 2025 in the backtest, on Coinbase candles for Ethereum.
Hold for the target: 20% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~12.2 days. Book early: 46% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~7.9 days.
The typical trade dipped about 1.21R toward its stop before it worked out. It usually plays out over about 12 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
No. These are past results of the pattern, measured with no look-ahead and net of fees. They describe how it has behaved, not what the next one will do.
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