Track record
Wave Momentum on ETH 4H: backtested track record
Every Wave Momentum that formed on the Ethereum (ETH) 4-hour chart since Feb 2025: 101 backtested trades, grade D, averaging +0.03R per trade after a 0.12% round-trip fee.
Wave Momentum
ETH · 4-hour chart
Track record with 0.12% fees per trade
Risk / trade
Hold for the target
Holding the whole position to the target closed in profit less often, but the winners were larger.
Annual gain+4%
Wins35%
Avg time to profit~3.4 days
Max drawdown21%
Book early
Banking half near the first target and moving the stop to breakeven closed in profit more often, with smaller average winners.
Annual gain+6%
Wins50%
Avg time to profit~2.8 days
Max drawdown17%
Times it has formed101
Avg edge / trade+0.03R
Typical dip first~1.05R
It usually plays out over about 3 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats
Direction split47 long / 54 short
Expectancy0.03R per trade
Median run / dip0.82R / -1.05R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026
Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results.
Wave Momentum on ETH, other timeframes
New to the pattern? How a Wave Momentum works.
Reading these numbers: average result per trade and drawdown, explained.
Questions about the Wave Momentum on ETH 4H
101 times since Feb 2025 in the backtest, on Coinbase candles for Ethereum.
Hold for the target: 35% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~3.4 days. Book early: 50% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~2.8 days.
The typical trade dipped about 1.05R toward its stop before it worked out. It usually plays out over about 3 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
No. These are past results of the pattern, measured with no look-ahead and net of fees. They describe how it has behaved, not what the next one will do.
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