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Bitcoin Cycle Trader
BTC
Paper trading since Jan 1, 2026
$20,821.90
▲ $821.90 (+4.11%)
Bsince 2018
B280 days
If held
-6.3%
$18,750
Max drop
3.7%
held 40%
Trades
64
positions opened
In coins
59%
rest in cash
Loading BTC live chart…
Open Position at its average entry, live P&LSL Stop-loss order, $ if hit Opened: first buy Added: bought more Trimmed: sold part Closed: sold allArrow size shows the share of the position Entry skipped: live risk check flagged high risk
| Coin | Side | Size | Avg entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | Long | 0.0885329 | $77,733.99 | $83,275.06 | $7,372.58 | +$491 (+7.13%) |
Portfolio vs buy and hold
This portfolio $20,895Buy and hold $18,750
Trading journey
Loading BTC journey…
Moves (137)
Newest first
- Oct 8, 2026Trimmed 0.0312695 BTC at $81,089.55 · stop hit · position now 0.0885329 BTC
- Oct 8, 2026Trimmed 0.02779554 BTC at $83,275.05 · stop hit · position now 0.1198024 BTC
- Oct 5, 2026Trimmed 0.02754143 BTC at $84,981.93 · stop hit · position now 0.14759795 BTC(replay)
- Oct 5, 2026Trimmed 0.02754143 BTC at $85,031.62 · stop hit · position now 0.17513938 BTC(replay)
- Oct 4, 2026Added 0.02754143 BTC at $86,507.11 · stop $84,981.93 · position now 0.20268081 BTC(replay)
- Oct 4, 2026Added 0.02754143 BTC at $86,507.11 · stop $85,031.62 · position now 0.17513938 BTC(replay)
- Oct 2, 2026Trimmed 0.02779097 BTC at $84,152.74 · stop hit · position now 0.14759795 BTC(replay)
- Oct 1, 2026Added 0.02779097 BTC at $84,848.73 · stop $84,152.74 · position now 0.17538892 BTC(replay)
- Sep 28, 2026Trimmed 0.02859645 BTC at $83,734.99 · stop hit · position now 0.14759795 BTC(replay)
- Sep 28, 2026Trimmed 0.0278866 BTC at $84,277.64 · stop hit · position now 0.1761944 BTC(replay)
The same rules, tested on the pastBacktest
94 starting points, the first day of every month from Jan 1, 2018, each held to Oct 7, 2026. Beat holding the same coins from 61% of starts with 0.10% fees, 62% with none.
| With 0.10% fees | No fees | Holding the coins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yearly return (median start) | +28.4% | +30.7% | +33.1% |
| Yearly edge over holding | +3.6% pts | +5.7% pts | - |
| Biggest drop (median start) | 42% | 42% | 75% |
| Biggest drop (worst start) | 49% | 49% | 81% |
| Total, worst start | -5% | -2% | -30% |
| Last 1 year, total | -3% (drop 11%) | -2% | -31% (drop 53%) |
| Last 2 years, total | +29% (drop 18%) | +33% | +34% (drop 53%) |
| Last 3 years, total | +105% (drop 22%) | +116% | +198% (drop 53%) |
Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Trading costs of 0.10% per trade are included. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.