Order Block · BTC · 4H

Order Block on BTC 4H.

Botsfolio Analyst · Automated setup detection

Published August 27, 2026

TL;DR

A Order Block formed on BTC 4H. Historically the Order Block on BTC 4H resolved toward the primary target in 8320% of 161 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.86R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Validation trigger: 79,067.35
Invalidation zone: 78,151.7091
Primary target: 79,982.9909
Historical win rate: 8320%
Expectancy: +0.86R
Sample size: 161 instances

What formed

An order block is the last opposing candle (or small cluster) before price makes a strong, one-sided move away from a level. The idea is that large orders were filled there, so the zone tends to matter again when price comes back to it. Traders treat it as a supply or demand area to watch, not a signal to act on by itself.

It forms when a range or pullback ends with a decisive break: the final down-candle before a rally (a demand block) or the final up-candle before a drop (a supply block). The stronger and more imbalanced the move away, and the more the level lines up with other structure, the more significant the block.

Key levels

Level	Value	Description
Validation trigger	79,067.35	Level that must react to confirm the formation
Invalidation zone	78,151.7091	Level that, if broken, negates the structural read
Primary target level	79,982.9909	First historical resolution zone
Secondary target level	81,265.3	Extended historical resolution zone
Distance to invalidation	1.16%	Price move from validation trigger to invalidation

Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.

Historical resolution

How the Order Block has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.

Coin	TF	N	Win %	Expectancy R	Avg hold (bars)
BTC	1H	591	83%	+0.69R	9.6
BTC	4H	161	83%	+0.86R	9.1
BTC	6H	92	79%	+0.75R	10.8
BTC	8H	72	92%	+1.16R	9.1
BTC	12H	48	85%	+0.91R	8.3
BTC	1D	22	86%	+0.65R	10.8
ETH	1H	601	84%	+0.79R	9.5
ETH	4H	151	87%	+0.86R	9.1
ETH	6H	98	86%	+0.85R	9.7
ETH	8H	72	82%	+0.71R	9.0
ETH	12H	46	85%	+0.81R	10.0
ETH	1D	23	87%	+0.71R	9.3
HYPE	1H	210	89%	+0.86R	9.7
HYPE	4H	56	82%	+0.75R	9.4
HYPE	6H	34	74%	+0.86R	10.2
HYPE	8H	25	84%	+0.92R	9.8
HYPE	12H	19	95%	+1.36R	8.8
HYPE	1D	9	67%	+0.53R	8.6
SOL	1H	593	83%	+0.75R	9.4
SOL	4H	158	82%	+0.76R	9.5
SOL	6H	108	82%	+0.71R	8.9
SOL	8H	70	77%	+0.80R	10.0
SOL	12H	49	84%	+0.84R	9.3
SOL	1D	31	87%	+0.98R	6.8
ZEC	1H	572	82%	+0.79R	9.1
ZEC	4H	148	83%	+0.83R	9.3
ZEC	6H	97	85%	+0.80R	9.6
ZEC	8H	76	87%	+0.92R	10.2
ZEC	12H	48	90%	+1.08R	10.8
ZEC	1D	27	85%	+0.77R	9.9

Backtested order-block outcomes, book early management, both direction. Net of 0.12% round-trip fees. Rows with n < 20 shown greyed. Methodology

How we compute this

Fixed 2% risk per trade; position size comes from the distance to invalidation. Returns are non-compounded (a flat 2% risk each time), reported net of a 0.12% round-trip fee. Rows below 20 historical instances are surfaced as directional, not conclusive.

How this pattern behaves

When price returns to the block, watch how it reacts at the refined level inside the wider zone rather than the whole range. A tap that closes back out is often read as the level holding; a clean close through it is read as the block failing. We measure how often each outcome actually happened.

Also known as: OB.

FAQ

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