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Wave Momentum on BTC 6H

Wave Momentum

Short
BTC / USD · 6-hourStopped out
formed 45 days ago· stopped out 36 days ago

A bearish wave momentum on the 6-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $78,527.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $81,876, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $62,631, about 4.7R away.
Exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $78,527, with invalidation at $81,876. This style holds the full position toward the room near $62,631. A close above $81,876 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $78,527, with invalidation at $81,876. This style books half near the first target around $75,177 and shifts the stop to the entry ($78,527), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $62,631.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+25%
average annual gain
Wins40% of trades
Avg time to profit~6.0 days
Worst drawdown12%
Book early
+17%
average annual gain
Wins63% of trades
Avg time to profit~4.4 days
Worst drawdown10%
37
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.53R
avg edge · ≈ +$53 per $100 risked
~1.02R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 6 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split0 long / 37 short
Expectancy0.53R per trade
Median run / dip1.31R / -1.02R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 6H. Historically this pattern on BTC 6H resolved toward the first target in 46% of 78 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of -0.06R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Other wave momentum formations

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

FAQ

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

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Detected by Botsfolio · Aug 25, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.