Wave Momentum · BTC · 8H

Wave Momentum on BTC 8H.

Botsfolio Analyst · Automated setup detection

Published August 28, 2026

TL;DR

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 8H. Historically the Wave Momentum on BTC 8H resolved toward the primary target in 5830% of 60 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.18R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Validation trigger: 78,324.23
Invalidation zone: 82,063.3259
Primary target: 74,585.1341
Historical win rate: 5830%
Expectancy: +0.18R
Sample size: 60 instances

What formed

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Key levels

Level	Value	Description
Validation trigger	78,324.23	Level that must react to confirm the formation
Invalidation zone	82,063.3259	Level that, if broken, negates the structural read
Primary target level	74,585.1341	First historical resolution zone
Secondary target level	62,631.18	Extended historical resolution zone
Distance to invalidation	4.77%	Price move from validation trigger to invalidation

Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.

Historical resolution

How the Wave Momentum has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.

Coin	TF	N	Win %	Expectancy R	Avg hold (bars)
BTC	1H	428	55%	-0.03R	17.5
BTC	4H	110	53%	+0.02R	17.4
BTC	6H	78	53%	+0.04R	17.6
BTC	8H	60	58%	+0.18R	15.9
BTC	12H	35	37%	-0.34R	15.9
BTC	1D	18	44%	+0.16R	18.6
ETH	1H	429	52%	-0.02R	17.2
ETH	4H	106	53%	+0.09R	17.6
ETH	6H	70	50%	+0.12R	17.7
ETH	8H	50	52%	-0.04R	19.7
ETH	12H	35	40%	-0.31R	18.2
ETH	1D	18	61%	+0.07R	18.5
HYPE	1H	164	51%	-0.08R	15.4
HYPE	4H	39	59%	+0.18R	12.9
HYPE	6H	24	58%	+0.16R	18.4
HYPE	8H	22	55%	+0.00R	15.7
HYPE	12H	13	62%	+0.27R	16.4
HYPE	1D	6	50%	+0.38R	19.0
SOL	1H	460	46%	-0.11R	15.1
SOL	4H	118	51%	+0.00R	15.7
SOL	6H	66	46%	-0.13R	18.0
SOL	8H	48	52%	+0.02R	20.2
SOL	12H	33	58%	+0.19R	17.8
SOL	1D	17	53%	+0.02R	12.4
ZEC	1H	442	49%	-0.10R	15.4
ZEC	4H	101	56%	+0.13R	16.6
ZEC	6H	57	54%	+0.10R	21.3
ZEC	8H	46	65%	+0.35R	23.7
ZEC	12H	32	41%	-0.20R	16.2
ZEC	1D	19	37%	-0.36R	11.7

Backtested wave-momentum outcomes, book early management, both direction. Net of 0.12% round-trip fees. Rows with n < 20 shown greyed. Methodology

How we compute this

Fixed 2% risk per trade; position size comes from the distance to invalidation. Returns are non-compounded (a flat 2% risk each time), reported net of a 0.12% round-trip fee. Rows below 20 historical instances are surfaced as directional, not conclusive.

How this pattern behaves

Wave signals work best as confluence with structural setups. A wave cross at an order block or after a sweep produces materially stronger outcomes than a cross in the middle of the range.

Also known as: wave cross.

FAQ

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Other wave momentum formations

Related concepts

Anchors

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.