Wave Momentum · BTC · 8H

Wave Momentum on BTC 8H.

Botsfolio Analyst · Automated setup detection

Published August 28, 2026

TL;DR

A Wave Momentum formed on BTC 8H. Historically the Wave Momentum on BTC 8H resolved toward the primary target in 5760% of 59 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.17R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Validation trigger: 78,324.23
Invalidation zone: 82,089.9385
Primary target: 74,558.5215
Historical win rate: 5760%
Expectancy: +0.17R
Sample size: 59 instances

What formed

Wave momentum is a composite oscillator built from three well-known public indicators: WaveTrend, Money Flow Index, and Stochastic RSI. Together they produce a wave cross signal most useful in extreme territory. It is the open-source equivalent of Market Cipher B.

It fires when WaveTrend crosses in extreme territory (below -50 for bullish, above +50 for bearish) with confirming MFI direction and Stoch RSI in the corresponding extreme.

Key levels

Level	Value	Description
Validation trigger	78,324.23	Level that must react to confirm the formation
Invalidation zone	82,089.9385	Level that, if broken, negates the structural read
Primary target level	74,558.5215	First historical resolution zone
Secondary target level	62,631.18	Extended historical resolution zone
Distance to invalidation	4.81%	Price move from validation trigger to invalidation

Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.

Historical resolution

How the Wave Momentum has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.

Coin	TF	N	Win %	Expectancy R	Avg hold (bars)
BTC	1H	424	55%	-0.02R	17.4
BTC	4H	109	53%	+0.03R	17.4
BTC	6H	77	52%	+0.04R	17.6
BTC	8H	59	58%	+0.17R	15.9
BTC	12H	34	38%	-0.34R	16.3
BTC	1D	17	47%	+0.17R	19.6
ETH	1H	428	52%	-0.02R	17.1
ETH	4H	106	53%	+0.09R	17.6
ETH	6H	70	50%	+0.12R	17.7
ETH	8H	50	52%	-0.04R	19.7
ETH	12H	35	40%	-0.31R	18.2
ETH	1D	18	61%	+0.07R	18.5
HYPE	1H	164	51%	-0.08R	15.4
HYPE	4H	39	59%	+0.18R	12.9
HYPE	6H	24	58%	+0.16R	18.4
HYPE	8H	22	55%	+0.00R	15.7
HYPE	12H	13	62%	+0.27R	16.4
HYPE	1D	6	50%	+0.38R	19.0
SOL	1H	457	46%	-0.11R	15.0
SOL	4H	116	51%	+0.01R	15.8
SOL	6H	65	46%	-0.12R	18.1
SOL	8H	46	54%	+0.07R	20.9
SOL	12H	31	58%	+0.26R	18.7
SOL	1D	16	56%	+0.03R	13.2
ZEC	1H	442	49%	-0.10R	15.4
ZEC	4H	101	56%	+0.13R	16.6
ZEC	6H	57	54%	+0.10R	21.3
ZEC	8H	46	65%	+0.35R	23.7
ZEC	12H	32	41%	-0.20R	16.2
ZEC	1D	19	37%	-0.36R	11.7

Backtested wave-momentum outcomes, book early management, both direction. Net of 0.12% round-trip fees. Rows with n < 20 shown greyed. Methodology

How we compute this

Fixed 2% risk per trade; position size comes from the distance to invalidation. Returns are non-compounded (a flat 2% risk each time), reported net of a 0.12% round-trip fee. Rows below 20 historical instances are surfaced as directional, not conclusive.

How this pattern behaves

Wave signals work best as confluence with structural setups. A wave cross at an order block or after a sweep produces materially stronger outcomes than a cross in the middle of the range.

Also known as: wave cross.

FAQ

Ask the Analyst about Wave Momentum

Other wave momentum formations

Related concepts

Anchors

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.