Liquidity Sweep · ETH · 12H

Liquidity Sweep on ETH 12H.

Botsfolio Analyst · Automated setup detection

Published August 28, 2026

TL;DR

A Liquidity Sweep formed on ETH 12H. Historically the Liquidity Sweep on ETH 12H resolved toward the primary target in 9230% of 65 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +1.14R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

Validation trigger: 2,442.79
Invalidation zone: 2,560.5387
Primary target: 2,325.0413
Historical win rate: 9230%
Expectancy: +1.14R
Sample size: 65 instances

What formed

A liquidity sweep, or stop hunt, is a sharp push just past an obvious high or low that grabs the resting stop orders sitting there, then quickly reverses. Predictable stops cluster beyond prior extremes, which makes those areas common fake-out zones.

It forms when price runs a level everyone can see (a prior high, a round number, equal highs or lows), triggers the stops, and fails to hold above or below. The reversal that follows is what distinguishes a sweep from a genuine breakout.

Key levels

Level	Value	Description
Validation trigger	2,442.79	Level that must react to confirm the formation
Invalidation zone	2,560.5387	Level that, if broken, negates the structural read
Primary target level	2,325.0413	First historical resolution zone
Secondary target level	1,854.0463	Extended historical resolution zone
Distance to invalidation	4.82%	Price move from validation trigger to invalidation

Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.

Historical resolution

How the Liquidity Sweep has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.

Coin	TF	N	Win %	Expectancy R	Avg hold (bars)
BTC	1H	642	77%	+0.55R	12.2
BTC	4H	203	80%	+0.66R	10.0
BTC	6H	126	82%	+0.89R	11.4
BTC	8H	105	79%	+0.62R	10.2
BTC	12H	73	80%	+0.59R	9.6
BTC	1D	41	81%	+0.78R	8.6
ETH	1H	722	78%	+0.61R	11.1
ETH	4H	183	78%	+0.62R	12.5
ETH	6H	130	86%	+0.89R	11.7
ETH	8H	97	81%	+0.75R	11.4
ETH	12H	65	92%	+1.14R	11.6
ETH	1D	36	78%	+0.66R	10.7
HYPE	1H	216	76%	+0.60R	10.5
HYPE	4H	54	85%	+0.89R	13.0
HYPE	6H	38	82%	+0.93R	11.6
HYPE	8H	27	85%	+0.97R	12.6
HYPE	12H	15	60%	+0.95R	15.5
HYPE	1D	13	92%	+1.09R	7.5
SOL	1H	709	83%	+0.73R	11.0
SOL	4H	191	83%	+0.82R	11.6
SOL	6H	129	80%	+0.79R	11.7
SOL	8H	98	84%	+1.04R	11.9
SOL	12H	80	83%	+0.93R	9.3
SOL	1D	42	86%	+1.13R	8.3
ZEC	1H	712	81%	+0.74R	10.5
ZEC	4H	173	76%	+0.75R	12.9
ZEC	6H	129	78%	+0.80R	11.2
ZEC	8H	85	81%	+0.81R	13.7
ZEC	12H	60	82%	+0.90R	12.8
ZEC	1D	34	91%	+0.97R	11.3

Backtested liquidity-sweep outcomes, book early management, both direction. Net of 0.12% round-trip fees. Rows with n < 20 shown greyed. Methodology

How we compute this

Fixed 2% risk per trade; position size comes from the distance to invalidation. Returns are non-compounded (a flat 2% risk each time), reported net of a 0.12% round-trip fee. Rows below 20 historical instances are surfaced as directional, not conclusive.

How this pattern behaves

The key read is the reclaim: after the wick past the level, does price close back inside the range? A sweep-and-reclaim is treated as the trap confirming, a sustained break is not. We measure how often the reclaim actually led to a reversal.

Also known as: stop hunt.

FAQ

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