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Fair Value Gap on ETH 1D

Fair Value Gap

Long
ETH / USD · dailyOpen
formed under an hour ago

A bullish fair value gap on the daily chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

Entry zoneThe reaction level sits around $2,429 ($2,428 to $2,430).
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $2,392, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $2,567, about 2.9R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $2,437, with invalidation at $2,392. This style holds the full position toward the room near $2,567. A close below $2,392 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $2,437, with invalidation at $2,392. This style books half near the first target around $2,483 and shifts the stop to the entry ($2,437), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $2,567.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+5%
average annual gain
Wins32% of trades
Avg time to profit~10.7 days
Worst drawdown15%
Book early
+5%
average annual gain
Wins57% of trades
Avg time to profit~7.1 days
Worst drawdown12%
19
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.2R
avg edge · ≈ +$20 per $100 risked
~1.18R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out over about 11 days, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split19 long / 0 short
Expectancy0.20R per trade
Median run / dip1.54R / -1.18R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Fair Value Gap formed on ETH 1D. Historically this pattern on ETH 1D resolved toward the first target in 5260% of 38 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.05R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

It appears during sharp, one-directional moves, often off news or a liquidity grab. The faster and larger the displacement, the bigger the gap. Gaps that sit alongside an order block or a key level tend to matter more than isolated ones.

Other fair value gap formations

Ask the Analyst about Fair Value Gap

FAQ

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 10, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.