Momentum Divergence on SOL 12H.
A Momentum Divergence formed on SOL 12H. Historically the Momentum Divergence on SOL 12H resolved toward the primary target in 4780% of 46 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.01R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.
- Validation trigger
- 105.85
- Invalidation zone
- 111.8686
- Primary target
- 99.8314
- Historical win rate
- 4780%
- Expectancy
- +0.01R
- Sample size
- 46 instances
What formed
Momentum divergence is a two-part pattern where price prints a new high or low but a momentum oscillator like RSI fails to confirm with a corresponding new extreme. The mismatch signals that the visible price move is not being supported by underlying momentum.
It forms when two consecutive prominent price pivots disagree with two corresponding pivots on the momentum oscillator. Bullish: lower price low, higher momentum low. Bearish: higher price high, lower momentum high.
Key levels
| Level | Value | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Validation trigger | 105.85 | Level that must react to confirm the formation |
| Invalidation zone | 111.8686 | Level that, if broken, negates the structural read |
| Primary target level | 99.8314 | First historical resolution zone |
| Secondary target level | 75.7572 | Extended historical resolution zone |
| Distance to invalidation | 5.69% | Price move from validation trigger to invalidation |
Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.
Historical resolution
How the Momentum Divergence has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.
| Coin | TF | N | Win % | Expectancy R | Avg hold (bars) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1H | 452 | 62% | +0.11R | 14.1 |
| BTC | 4H | 114 | 63% | +0.24R | 14.5 |
| BTC | 6H | 71 | 58% | +0.15R | 14.1 |
| BTC | 8H | 63 | 57% | +0.09R | 11.4 |
| BTC | 12H | 32 | 56% | +0.03R | 12.0 |
| BTC | 1D | 11 | 18% | -0.60R | 9.7 |
| ETH | 1H | 476 | 54% | -0.05R | 12.9 |
| ETH | 4H | 116 | 54% | +0.10R | 12.3 |
| ETH | 6H | 72 | 56% | +0.06R | 12.7 |
| ETH | 8H | 63 | 49% | -0.08R | 12.4 |
| ETH | 12H | 33 | 36% | -0.30R | 12.3 |
| ETH | 1D | 20 | 40% | -0.01R | 11.2 |
| HYPE | 1H | 157 | 54% | -0.01R | 12.8 |
| HYPE | 4H | 38 | 45% | -0.19R | 12.6 |
| HYPE | 6H | 19 | 58% | +0.31R | 17.1 |
| HYPE | 8H | 17 | 71% | +0.58R | 12.1 |
| HYPE | 12H | 12 | 67% | +0.56R | 11.7 |
| HYPE | 1D | 4 | 25% | -0.20R | 9.0 |
| SOL | 1H | 440 | 56% | +0.04R | 13.2 |
| SOL | 4H | 117 | 56% | +0.10R | 13.1 |
| SOL | 6H | 82 | 55% | +0.03R | 10.7 |
| SOL | 8H | 54 | 50% | +0.05R | 10.5 |
| SOL | 12H | 46 | 48% | +0.01R | 8.5 |
| SOL | 1D | 15 | 40% | -0.34R | 11.5 |
| ZEC | 1H | 455 | 56% | +0.06R | 12.1 |
| ZEC | 4H | 112 | 49% | -0.07R | 12.8 |
| ZEC | 6H | 67 | 57% | +0.12R | 15.3 |
| ZEC | 8H | 44 | 57% | +0.12R | 12.6 |
| ZEC | 12H | 34 | 53% | +0.03R | 10.9 |
| ZEC | 1D | 16 | 56% | +0.14R | 11.1 |
How this pattern behaves
Divergence works best as confluence with a structural reaction level, not as a standalone trigger. We measure how often divergence at key levels actually leads to a reversal.
FAQ
Other momentum divergence formations
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Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.