Fair Value Gap on ZEC 12H.
A Fair Value Gap formed on ZEC 12H. Historically the Fair Value Gap on ZEC 12H resolved toward the primary target in 5430% of 81 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.08R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.
- Validation trigger
- 831
- Invalidation zone
- 815.1973
- Primary target
- 846.8027
- Historical win rate
- 5430%
- Expectancy
- +0.08R
- Sample size
- 81 instances
What formed
A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.
It appears during sharp, one-directional moves, often off news or a liquidity grab. The faster and larger the displacement, the bigger the gap. Gaps that sit alongside an order block or a key level tend to matter more than isolated ones.
Key levels
| Level | Value | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Validation trigger | 831 | Level that must react to confirm the formation |
| Invalidation zone | 815.1973 | Level that, if broken, negates the structural read |
| Primary target level | 846.8027 | First historical resolution zone |
| Secondary target level | 859.05 | Extended historical resolution zone |
| Distance to invalidation | 1.90% | Price move from validation trigger to invalidation |
Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.
Historical resolution
How the Fair Value Gap has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.
| Coin | TF | N | Win % | Expectancy R | Avg hold (bars) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1H | 892 | 49% | -0.19R | 6.2 |
| BTC | 4H | 247 | 47% | -0.16R | 5.7 |
| BTC | 6H | 169 | 54% | +0.01R | 5.8 |
| BTC | 8H | 128 | 44% | -0.14R | 5.4 |
| BTC | 12H | 76 | 47% | -0.14R | 5.1 |
| BTC | 1D | 49 | 45% | -0.21R | 3.4 |
| ETH | 1H | 888 | 53% | -0.04R | 6.3 |
| ETH | 4H | 210 | 43% | -0.23R | 7.2 |
| ETH | 6H | 156 | 52% | -0.01R | 6.3 |
| ETH | 8H | 112 | 51% | -0.03R | 6.9 |
| ETH | 12H | 70 | 46% | -0.02R | 6.4 |
| ETH | 1D | 37 | 54% | +0.08R | 6.4 |
| HYPE | 1H | 340 | 54% | +0.01R | 5.4 |
| HYPE | 4H | 81 | 51% | +0.11R | 5.4 |
| HYPE | 6H | 60 | 33% | -0.36R | 4.8 |
| HYPE | 8H | 48 | 50% | +0.03R | 4.8 |
| HYPE | 12H | 32 | 38% | -0.23R | 4.0 |
| HYPE | 1D | 19 | 53% | +0.21R | 4.7 |
| SOL | 1H | 923 | 49% | -0.10R | 6.1 |
| SOL | 4H | 249 | 43% | -0.17R | 5.6 |
| SOL | 6H | 155 | 46% | -0.10R | 6.3 |
| SOL | 8H | 114 | 59% | +0.14R | 6.6 |
| SOL | 12H | 82 | 49% | -0.05R | 6.1 |
| SOL | 1D | 47 | 49% | -0.01R | 5.8 |
| ZEC | 1H | 915 | 53% | -0.00R | 6.1 |
| ZEC | 4H | 220 | 51% | +0.01R | 6.5 |
| ZEC | 6H | 158 | 54% | +0.09R | 6.8 |
| ZEC | 8H | 109 | 50% | -0.01R | 7.2 |
| ZEC | 12H | 81 | 54% | +0.08R | 6.2 |
| ZEC | 1D | 35 | 63% | +0.21R | 6.9 |
How this pattern behaves
The common read is whether price returns to the gap and reacts, or fills straight through it. A partial fill that holds is read differently from a full fill that keeps going. We track the historical follow-through rather than assuming either.
Also known as: FVG.
FAQ
Other fair value gap formations
Related
- ConceptOrder BlockThe last opposing candle before a strong, imbalanced move, a zone price often reacts to on the return.
- ConceptLiquidity SweepA sharp push past an obvious high or low that grabs resting stops, then quickly reverses.
- ConceptBreak of StructureA decisive close beyond the most recent swing point in the trend direction that confirms continuation.
Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.