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Fair Value Gap on ZEC 4H

Fair Value Gap

Long
ZEC / USD · 4-hourStopped out
formed 3 days ago· stopped out 2 days ago

A bullish fair value gap on the 4-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

Entry zoneThe reaction level sits around $1,368 ($1,367 to $1,368).
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $1,343, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $1,396, about 0.9R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $1,371, with invalidation at $1,343. This style holds the full position toward the room near $1,396. A close below $1,343 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $1,371, with invalidation at $1,343. This style books half near the first target around $1,396 and shifts the stop to the entry ($1,371), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $1,396.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+43%
average annual gain
Wins35% of trades
Avg time to profit~1.7 days
Worst drawdown36%
Book early
+28%
average annual gain
Wins56% of trades
Avg time to profit~1.2 days
Worst drawdown24%
128
times triggered since Feb 2025
+0.27R
avg edge · ≈ +$27 per $100 risked
~1.14R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out in about a day or two, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split128 long / 0 short
Expectancy0.27R per trade
Median run / dip1.43R / -1.14R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Fair Value Gap formed on ZEC 4H. Historically this pattern on ZEC 4H resolved toward the first target in 5150% of 229 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.01R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

It appears during sharp, one-directional moves, often off news or a liquidity grab. The faster and larger the displacement, the bigger the gap. Gaps that sit alongside an order block or a key level tend to matter more than isolated ones.

Other fair value gap formations

Ask the Analyst about Fair Value Gap

FAQ

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 17, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.