Track record
Momentum Divergence on BTC 1H: backtested track record
Every Momentum Divergence that formed on the Bitcoin (BTC) 1-hour chart since Feb 2025: 401 backtested trades, grade D, averaging -0.12R per trade after a 0.12% round-trip fee.
Momentum Divergence
BTC · 1-hour chart
Track record with 0.12% fees per trade
Risk / trade
Hold for the target
Holding the whole position to the target closed in profit less often, but the winners were larger.
Annual gain-59%
Wins33%
Avg time to profit~16h
Max drawdown73%
Book early
Banking half near the first target and moving the stop to breakeven closed in profit more often, with smaller average winners.
Annual gain-97%
Wins48%
Avg time to profit~13h
Max drawdown83%
Times it has formed401
Avg edge / trade-0.12R
Typical dip first~1.11R
It usually plays out within about 16 hours, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats
Direction split191 long / 210 short
Expectancy-0.12R per trade
Median run / dip1.00R / -1.11R
Sample windowFeb 2025 to Sep 2026
Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results.
Momentum Divergence on BTC, other timeframes
Momentum Divergence 4HMomentum Divergence 6HMomentum Divergence 8HMomentum Divergence 12HMomentum Divergence 1D
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Questions about the Momentum Divergence on BTC 1H
401 times since Feb 2025 in the backtest, on Coinbase candles for Bitcoin.
Hold for the target: 33% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~16h. Book early: 48% of trades closed in profit, typically in ~13h.
The typical trade dipped about 1.11R toward its stop before it worked out. It usually plays out within about 16 hours, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
No. These are past results of the pattern, measured with no look-ahead and net of fees. They describe how it has behaved, not what the next one will do.
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