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Fair Value Gap on HYPE 1H

Fair Value Gap

Short
HYPE / USD · 1-hourStopped out
formed 6 hours ago· stopped out 2 hours ago

A bearish fair value gap on the 1-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

EntryThe trigger printed near $92.44.
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $93.27, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $88.31, about 5.0R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $92.44, with invalidation at $93.27. This style holds the full position toward the room near $88.31. A close above $93.27 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $92.44, with invalidation at $93.27. This style books half near the first target around $91.61 and shifts the stop to the entry ($92.44), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $88.31.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
-17%
average annual gain
Wins30% of trades
Avg time to profit~8h
Worst drawdown51%
Book early
+19%
average annual gain
Wins56% of trades
Avg time to profit~6h
Worst drawdown30%
198
times triggered since Feb 2026
-0.03R
avg edge · ≈ -$3 per $100 risked
~1.16R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out within about 8 hours, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split0 long / 198 short
Expectancy-0.03R per trade
Median run / dip1.29R / -1.16R
Sample windowFeb 2026 to Sep 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Fair Value Gap formed on HYPE 1H. Historically this pattern on HYPE 1H resolved toward the first target in 5430% of 381 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.01R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

It appears during sharp, one-directional moves, often off news or a liquidity grab. The faster and larger the displacement, the bigger the gap. Gaps that sit alongside an order block or a key level tend to matter more than isolated ones.

Other fair value gap formations

Ask the Analyst about Fair Value Gap

FAQ

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 19, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.