Break And Retest on HYPE 4H.
A Break And Retest formed on HYPE 4H. Historically the Break And Retest on HYPE 4H resolved toward the primary target in 5220% of 115 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.05R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.
- Validation trigger
- 83.18
- Invalidation zone
- 84.2224
- Primary target
- 82.1376
- Historical win rate
- 5220%
- Expectancy
- +0.05R
- Sample size
- 115 instances
What formed
Break and retest is one of the most-watched patterns in price action: price breaks a clear level (support, resistance, or a trendline), then comes back to test that same level from the other side before continuing. The retest is treated as confirmation the break was real, with old resistance acting as new support and vice versa.
It forms after a decisive close through a level, followed by a controlled pullback to it. A clean retest that holds, with the level flipping roles, is read as stronger than an immediate continuation that never retests.
Key levels
| Level | Value | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Validation trigger | 83.18 | Level that must react to confirm the formation |
| Invalidation zone | 84.2224 | Level that, if broken, negates the structural read |
| Primary target level | 82.1376 | First historical resolution zone |
| Secondary target level | 77.9682 | Extended historical resolution zone |
| Distance to invalidation | 1.25% | Price move from validation trigger to invalidation |
Descriptive analysis of a chart structure. Not personalized guidance.
Historical resolution
How the Break And Retest has actually resolved across our backtest sample, computed walk-forward on real historical candles.
| Coin | TF | N | Win % | Expectancy R | Avg hold (bars) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1H | 945 | 46% | -0.24R | 8.3 |
| BTC | 4H | 323 | 51% | -0.10R | 6.1 |
| BTC | 6H | 222 | 55% | +0.05R | 6.8 |
| BTC | 8H | 188 | 51% | -0.01R | 5.8 |
| BTC | 12H | 150 | 42% | -0.27R | 4.6 |
| BTC | 1D | 70 | 57% | +0.01R | 5.4 |
| ETH | 1H | 1,032 | 48% | -0.15R | 7.4 |
| ETH | 4H | 309 | 47% | -0.10R | 6.5 |
| ETH | 6H | 229 | 44% | -0.17R | 6.0 |
| ETH | 8H | 175 | 48% | -0.09R | 6.0 |
| ETH | 12H | 124 | 43% | -0.23R | 6.0 |
| ETH | 1D | 54 | 57% | +0.14R | 7.4 |
| HYPE | 1H | 381 | 48% | -0.10R | 6.1 |
| HYPE | 4H | 115 | 52% | +0.05R | 5.7 |
| HYPE | 6H | 87 | 41% | -0.10R | 4.7 |
| HYPE | 8H | 75 | 43% | -0.22R | 3.7 |
| HYPE | 12H | 42 | 48% | -0.00R | 4.7 |
| HYPE | 1D | 22 | 46% | -0.26R | 5.1 |
| SOL | 1H | 1,012 | 50% | -0.11R | 7.5 |
| SOL | 4H | 312 | 43% | -0.15R | 6.3 |
| SOL | 6H | 215 | 50% | -0.06R | 6.3 |
| SOL | 8H | 178 | 50% | -0.02R | 6.3 |
| SOL | 12H | 131 | 49% | +0.05R | 5.8 |
| SOL | 1D | 67 | 43% | -0.06R | 5.9 |
| ZEC | 1H | 1,056 | 47% | -0.14R | 6.9 |
| ZEC | 4H | 310 | 45% | -0.15R | 6.4 |
| ZEC | 6H | 228 | 50% | -0.00R | 6.0 |
| ZEC | 8H | 167 | 46% | -0.14R | 6.4 |
| ZEC | 12H | 135 | 42% | -0.17R | 5.5 |
| ZEC | 1D | 64 | 47% | -0.13R | 6.1 |
How this pattern behaves
Watch whether the retest holds the flipped level or closes back through it. A hold is read as the break confirmed; a failure is read as a fake-out. We track the historical outcomes for each on this coin and timeframe.
Also known as: break-retest.
FAQ
Other break and retest formations
Related
- ConceptBreak of StructureA decisive close beyond the most recent swing point in the trend direction that confirms continuation.
- ConceptOrder BlockThe last opposing candle before a strong, imbalanced move, a zone price often reacts to on the return.
- ConceptFair Value GapA three-candle imbalance where price moved so fast it left an untraded gap it often returns to fill.
Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.