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Fair Value Gap on HYPE 4H

Fair Value Gap

Long
HYPE / USD · 4-hourFirst target hit
formed about a day ago· first target hit 20 hours ago

A bullish fair value gap on the 4-hour chart. Here is where it sits and how this pattern has behaved in the past.

Entry zoneThe reaction level sits around $86.31 ($86.27 to $86.36).
InvalidationThe idea is broken on a close past $85.52, which is where the pattern fails.
Room to targetThere is room toward $88.16, about 2.6R away.
Two exit rules
Hold for the target

Entry sits near $86.26, with invalidation at $85.52. This style holds the full position toward the room near $88.16. A close below $85.52 ends the idea.

Book early

Entry sits near $86.26, with invalidation at $85.52. This style books half near the first target around $87.00 and shifts the stop to the entry ($86.26), so the remainder carries no risk. The rest targets the room near $88.16.

Track recordwith 0.12% round-trip fees
Risk per trade
Hold for the target
+20%
average annual gain
Wins35% of trades
Avg time to profit~23h
Worst drawdown21%
Book early
+12%
average annual gain
Wins47% of trades
Avg time to profit~18h
Worst drawdown21%
48
times triggered since Feb 2026
+0.11R
avg edge · ≈ +$11 per $100 risked
~1.05R
typical dip before it works
What to expect: It usually plays out within about 23 hours, and it often moves most of the way to your stop before it turns. That is past behavior, not a promise about this instance.
Advanced stats+
Direction split48 long / 0 short
Expectancy0.11R per trade
Median run / dip0.77R / -1.05R
Sample windowFeb 2026 to Aug 2026

Not financial advice, and never a buy or sell call. Past performance does not predict future results. See how these numbers are computed.

What formed

A Fair Value Gap formed on HYPE 4H. Historically this pattern on HYPE 4H resolved toward the first target in 5060% of 81 instances before touching invalidation, with an expectancy of +0.11R per instance. This is descriptive analysis of a chart structure, not personalized guidance.

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

It appears during sharp, one-directional moves, often off news or a liquidity grab. The faster and larger the displacement, the bigger the gap. Gaps that sit alongside an order block or a key level tend to matter more than isolated ones.

Other fair value gap formations

Ask the Analyst about Fair Value Gap

FAQ

A fair value gap, or imbalance, is a three-candle pattern where the middle candle moves so fast that the wicks of the first and third candle don't overlap, leaving a small untraded gap in price. Because that range was skipped, price often returns to rebalance it before continuing.

Related

Detected by Botsfolio · Sep 4, 2026 · Methodology

Descriptive analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results.